An Overview in Adverse Selection: A Case Study in Indonesia Healthcare Insurance

Authors

  • Dhimas Dita Rahadian Master of Public Health, Faculty of Public Health, Universitas Respati Indonesia
  • Monica Rizqi Yanuar Setyowati Master of Public Health, Faculty of Public Health, Universitas Respati Indonesia
  • Erlina Puspitaloka Mahadewi Economic and Business Faculty, Universitas Esa Unggul, Jakarta Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51601/ijhp.v5i2.343

Abstract

This study analyzes adverse selection in health insurance poses a significant challenge to the sustainability of insurance schemes, particularly in developing countries where enrolment is voluntary and insurance literacy is low. Information asymmetry between participants and insurers often results in higher-risk individuals dominating the pool, threatening the program’s financial stability. This study aims to synthesize findings from various studies on adverse selection in health insurance, identifying common patterns, causal factors, and mitigation strategies. A systematic literature review approach was used to examine about 40 selected articles published between 2012 and 2025 related to adverse selection in different types of health insurance schemes (public, private, and community-based). Literature was sourced from academic databases such as Google Scholar, PubMed, and others, using specific boolean keyword combinations. Adverse selection was found to be most prevalent in voluntary schemes in developing countries. In contrast, evidence from some developed nations indicated advantageous selection. Mitigation strategies such as premium subsidies, risk-based premium setting, risk pooling, and improving insurance literacy proved effective in reducing negative selection. Advanced technologies like big data and machine learning also showed promise in managing risk profiles. Addressing adverse selection requires a multi-dimensional approach involving public policy, financial incentives, and technological innovation. A combination of mandatory enrolment, risk adjustment, targeted subsidies, and improved literacy is essential for building a sustainable and inclusive health insurance system.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Kenneth Saikwo Sisimwo, Kezia Muthoni Njoroge, Musa Oluoch Ong’ombe, and Duncan Ndombi Shikuku, “Willingness to renew national hospital insurance fund among voluntary scheme members in Kajiado County-Kenya,” International Journal of Science and Research Archive, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 443–455, Oct. 2022, doi: 10.30574/ijsra.2022.7.1.0187.

M. Hussien, M. Azage, and N. B. Bayou, “Financial viability of a community-based health insurance scheme in two districts of northeast Ethiopia: a mixed methods study,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 22, no. 1, p. 1072, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.1186/s12913-022-08439-8.

A. A. Withagen-Koster, R. C. van Kleef, and F. Eijkenaar, “High-risk pooling for mitigating risk selection incentives in health insurance markets with sophisticated risk equalization: an application based on health survey information,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 24, no. 1, p. 273, Mar. 2024, doi: 10.1186/s12913-024-10774-x.

M. Hillebrecht, S. Klonner, R. Sauerborn, A. Sié, and A. Souares, “The Demand for Health Insurance in a Poor Economy: Evidence from Burkina Faso,” Econ Dev Cult Change, vol. 69, no. 4, pp. 1273–1300, Jul. 2021, doi: 10.1086/706341.

L. P. O. Were, J. W. Hogan, O. Galárraga, and R. Wamai, “Predictors of Health Insurance Enrollment among HIV Positive Pregnant Women in Kenya: Potential for Adverse Selection and Implications for HIV Treatment and Prevention,” Int J Environ Res Public Health, vol. 17, no. 8, p. 2892, Apr. 2020, doi: 10.3390/ijerph17082892.

A. Banerjee, A. Finkelstein, R. Hanna, B. A. Olken, A. Ornaghi, and S. Sumarto, “The Challenges of Universal Health Insurance in Developing Countries: Experimental Evidence from Indonesia’s National Health Insurance,” American Economic Review, vol. 111, no. 9, pp. 3035–3063, Sep. 2021, doi: 10.1257/aer.20200523.

O. Darmouni and D. Zeltzer, “Horizon effects and adverse selection in health insurance markets,” Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d’économique, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 800–827, May 2022, doi: 10.1111/caje.12590.

H. Fang and D. Krueger, “The Affordable Care Act After a Decade: Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy,” Annu Rev Econom, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 453–494, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.1146/annurev-economics-051420-115149.

P. Yang, S. Zhong, X. Wang, and R. Zhong, “Adverse Selection as a Barrier to Achieving Universal Public Health Insurance Coverage in China,” Risk Manag Healthc Policy, vol. Volume 18, pp. 801–821, Mar. 2025, doi: 10.2147/RMHP.S508930.

sulistyo basuki, “Metode Peneltian,” 2006.

E. P. , Mahadewi, METODE RISET BISNIS (Business Research Methods). PT. Literasi Nusantara Abadi Grup.

D. Parmar, A. Souares, M. de Allegri, G. Savadogo, and R. Sauerborn, “Adverse selection in a community-based health insurance scheme in rural Africa: Implications for introducing targeted subsidies,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 12, no. 1, p. 181, Dec. 2012, doi: 10.1186/1472-6963-12-181.

Y. Jiang and W. Ni, “Risk selection into supplemental private health insurance in China,” Health Econ Rev, vol. 9, no. 1, p. 36, Dec. 2019, doi: 10.1186/s13561-019-0252-8.

S. Ahmed et al., “Adverse Selection in Community Based Health Insurance among Informal Workers in Bangladesh: An EQ-5D Assessment,” Int J Environ Res Public Health, vol. 15, no. 2, p. 242, Jan. 2018, doi: 10.3390/ijerph15020242.

M. Xu and W. Yang, “Who will drop out of voluntary social health insurance? Evidence from the New Cooperative Medical Scheme in China,” Health Policy Plan, vol. 36, no. 7, pp. 1013–1022, Aug. 2021, doi: 10.1093/heapol/czab017.

M. Rothschild and J. Stiglitz, “Equilibrium in Competitive Insurance Markets: An Essay on the Economics of Imperfect Information,” Q J Econ, vol. 90, no. 4, p. 629, Nov. 1976, doi: 10.2307/1885326.

D. M. Cutler and R. J. Zeckhauser, “Adverse Selection in Health Insurance,” Forum Health Econ Policy, vol. 1, no. 1, Jan. 1998, doi: 10.2202/1558-9544.1056.

P. Chiappori and B. Salanie, “Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance Markets,” Journal of Political Economy, vol. 108, no. 1, pp. 56–78, Feb. 2000, doi: 10.1086/262111.

A. Finkelstein and K. McGarry, “Multiple Dimensions of Private Information: Evidence from the Long-Term Care Insurance Market,” American Economic Review, vol. 96, no. 4, pp. 938–958, Sep. 2006, doi: 10.1257/aer.96.4.938.

B. R. Handel, “Nber Working Paper Series Adverse Selection and Switching Costs in Health Insurance Markets: When Nudging Hurts,” http://www.nber.org/papers/w17459, 2011.

A. Finkelstein and J. Poterba, “Adverse Selection in Insurance Markets: Policyholder Evidence from the U.K. Annuity Market,” Journal of Political Economy, vol. 112, no. 1, pp. 183–208, Feb. 2004, doi: 10.1086/379936.

“Optimal Mandates and the Welfare Cost of Asymmetric Information: Evidence From the U.K. Annuity Market,” Econometrica, vol. 78, no. 3, pp. 1031–1092, 2010, doi: 10.3982/ECTA7245.

J. Glazer and T. G. McGuire, “OPTIMAL RISK ADJUSTMENT IN MARKETS WITH ADVERSE SELECTION: AN APPLICATION TO MANAGED CARE,” in Models of Health Plan Payment and Quality Reporting, WORLD SCIENTIFIC, 2017, pp. 1–28. doi: 10.1142/9789813202887_0001.

M. V. Pauly and B. J. Herring, “An efficient employer strategy for dealing with adverse selection in multiple-plan offerings: an MSA example,” J Health Econ, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 513–528, Jul. 2000, doi: 10.1016/S0167-6296(00)00049-7.

M. K. Bundorf, J. Levin, and N. Mahoney, “Pricing and Welfare in Health Plan Choice,” American Economic Review, vol. 102, no. 7, pp. 3214–3248, Dec. 2012, doi: 10.1257/aer.102.7.3214.

P. Bajari, H. Hong, A. Khwaja, and C. Marsh, “Moral Hazard, Adverse Selection and Health Expenditures: A Semiparametric Analysis,” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012, doi: 10.2139/ssrn.2211792.

V. Maylia Ardini and E. Puspitaloka Mahadewi, “The Development of Health Insurance and Services in Indonesia,” International Journal of Health and Pharmaceutical (IJHP), vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 440–446, May 2022, doi: 10.51601/ijhp.v2i3.65.

D. A. D. P. dan D. [1] E. P. Mahadewi, “Health Promotion Healthy Behavior And Religiosity On Sustainable Marketing Of Healthcare Services,” The Seybold Report Journal (TSRJ) , vol. 17, no. 9, pp. 501–513, Sep. 2022.

M. A. Kokebie, Z. A. Abdo, S. Mohamed, and B. Leulseged, “Willingness to pay for social health insurance and its associated factors among public servants in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: a cross-sectional study,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 22, no. 1, p. 909, Dec. 2022, doi: 10.1186/s12913-022-08304-8.

M. B. Degefa, B. T. Woldehanna, and A. D. Mebratie, “Effect of community-based health insurance on catastrophic health expenditure among chronic disease patients in Asella referral hospital, Southeast Ethiopia: a comparative cross-sectional study,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 23, no. 1, p. 188, Feb. 2023, doi: 10.1186/s12913-023-09181-5.

X. Xiong et al., “Landscape of Intercellular Crosstalk in Healthy and NASH Liver Revealed by Single-Cell Secretome Gene Analysis,” Mol Cell, vol. 75, no. 3, pp. 644-660.e5, Aug. 2019, doi: 10.1016/j.molcel.2019.07.028.

G. Chambashi et al., “Computation of Reinsurance Premiums by Incorporating a Composite Lognormal Model in a Risk-Adjusted Premium Principle,” Journal of Mathematical Finance, vol. 13, no. 01, pp. 1–16, 2023, doi: 10.4236/jmf.2023.131001.

E. P. Mahadewi, “Investment Risk Management Strategies in Sukuk: A Sharia Management Perspective,” Kontigensi : Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 598–608, Dec. 2024, doi: 10.56457/jimk.v12i2.609.

J. Linoto, “Implications of Unisex Assumptions in the Analysis of Longevity for Insurance Portfolios in Indonesia,” GCISTEM Proceeding, vol. 1, pp. 209–215, Apr. 2022, doi: 10.56573/gcistem.v1i.5.

M. Hoy, A. Mirza, and A. Sadanand, “Guaranteed renewable life insurance under demand uncertainty,” Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 88, no. 1, pp. 131–159, Mar. 2021, doi: 10.1111/jori.12320.

J. Yu and E. D. Perry, “Premium subsidies and selection in the federal crop insurance program,” J Agric Econ, vol. 75, no. 1, pp. 280–297, Feb. 2024, doi: 10.1111/1477-9552.12555.

T. Philippi and J. Schiller, “Abandoning disaster relief and stimulating insurance demand through premium subsidies,” Journal of Risk and Insurance, vol. 91, no. 2, pp. 339–382, Jun. 2024, doi: 10.1111/jori.12467.

C. Mavroutsikos, K. Giannakas, and C. Walters, “The role of premium subsidies in crop insurance,” PLoS One, vol. 16, no. 4, p. e0250129, Apr. 2021, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250129.

D. Finger, H. Albrecher, and L. Wilhelmy, “On the cost of risk misspecification in insurance pricing,” Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 1111–1153, Nov. 2024, doi: 10.1007/s42081-024-00256-z.

T. Fischer, M. Frölich, and A. Landmann, “Adverse Selection in Low-Income Health Insurance Markets: Evidence from an RCT in Pakistan,” Am Econ J Appl Econ, vol. 15, no. 3, pp. 313–340, Jul. 2023, doi: 10.1257/app.20200639.

E. P. Mahadewi, A. H. Sutawidjaya, D. Asih, N. Surip, and A. Harahap, “Sustainable Marketing of Healthcare in Indonesia with Religiosity and Health Promotion Clean Healthy Lifestyle,” Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal, vol. 5, no. 1, 2020.

S. Ghimire, S. Ghimire, P. Khanal, R. A. Sagtani, and S. Paudel, “Factors affecting health insurance utilization among insured population: evidence from health insurance program of Bhaktapur district of Nepal,” BMC Health Serv Res, vol. 23, no. 1, p. 159, Feb. 2023, doi: 10.1186/s12913-023-09145-9.

Downloads

Published

2025-05-25

How to Cite

Dita Rahadian, D., Rizqi Yanuar Setyowati, M., & Puspitaloka Mahadewi, E. (2025). An Overview in Adverse Selection: A Case Study in Indonesia Healthcare Insurance . International Journal of Health and Pharmaceutical (IJHP), 5(2), 278–283. https://doi.org/10.51601/ijhp.v5i2.343

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 > >>